NIFC has published their June to July predictions for the fire outlook for the season. It is important to note that these determinations are based on current drought conditions and fluctuations in temperatures. Besides the fire outlook, there is interesting information on climate from NOAA as well as information about fuel conditions and fire season timing maps.
The predictive services shares how the timing of the greening up of areas along with a dry and warm season has contributed to increased wildfire potential in Alaska, parts of the Rocky Mountains and areas of California.
In the Northwest, there is considerable concern about an elevated fire risk this year due to the lack of snowpack. According to the report, “Due to the months of warm and relatively dry weather, snowpack across the region remains unusually low and continues to decline as temperatures rise. Most reporting basins around the region have less than 25% of normal snow water equivalent as of late May with many basins in Oregon reporting no snow. Climate outlooks from NOAA suggest June through September will be warmer than usual across the Pacific Northwest and drier west of the Cascades.”
These indicators help to define risk. However, we must be prepared for our risk from wildfire wherever we live. There are many simple activities that we can do that make our homes, neighborhoods and communities safer and much more resilient in the event of a wildfire by being Firewise.